Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.223685 0.240778 0.258859 0.279463 0.302357 0.327087 0.355920
2025-12-21 0.189939 0.213711 0.240435 0.272928 0.311676 0.356795 0.413886
2025-12-28 0.174958 0.203223 0.236439 0.278844 0.332261 0.398318 0.487805
2026-01-04 0.163097 0.194157 0.231943 0.282097 0.348172 0.434123 0.557668
2026-01-11 0.152585 0.185288 0.226213 0.282319 0.359102 0.463464 0.621628
2026-01-18 0.141763 0.174900 0.217321 0.277033 0.361372 0.480350 0.669147
2026-01-25 0.131637 0.164550 0.207487 0.269285 0.358955 0.489606 0.705557
2026-02-01 0.123874 0.156732 0.200357 0.264466 0.359907 0.503372 0.750223
2026-02-08 0.116654 0.149155 0.192969 0.258551 0.358435 0.512870 0.788607
2026-02-15 0.110795 0.143071 0.187218 0.254467 0.359172 0.525586 0.833872
2026-02-22 0.107654 0.140554 0.186286 0.257339 0.370783 0.556928 0.917093
2026-03-01 0.103518 0.136385 0.182686 0.255823 0.375099 0.576235 0.980487
2026-03-08 0.099580 0.132417 0.179315 0.254670 0.380320 0.598424 1.055144
2026-03-15 0.094734 0.126923 0.173413 0.249168 0.377828 0.606653 1.102949
2026-03-22 0.093065 0.125974 0.174240 0.254430 0.394170 0.651416 1.238465
2026-03-29 0.090926 0.124201 0.173672 0.257306 0.406487 0.689963 1.368651
2026-04-05 0.088309 0.121574 0.171615 0.257503 0.413882 0.719578 1.484233
2026-04-12 0.084775 0.117392 0.166894 0.252836 0.411775 0.729339 1.551478
2026-04-19 0.080990 0.112679 0.161115 0.245987 0.404960 0.728346 1.589948
2026-04-26 0.077994 0.109074 0.156956 0.241723 0.402779 0.737115 1.657699
2026-05-03 0.074973 0.105320 0.152394 0.236484 0.398266 0.740201 1.710018
2026-05-10 0.072454 0.102268 0.148850 0.232864 0.396688 0.749746 1.784272
2026-05-17 0.071301 0.101327 0.148729 0.235411 0.407761 0.789959 1.965779